Regulatory Penalty Estimator

Estimates potential regulatory penalties based on violation type, severity level, duration, and prior violation history using standard federal/state penalty frameworks.

Fill in the fields above and click Estimate Penalty.

Formula

Step 1 — Base Penalty:
Base = Daily Rate(violation type, severity) × Duration (days)

Step 2 — Prior Violation Adjustment:
Adjusted = Base × [1 + min(prior violations × 0.10, 1.0)]

Step 3 — Revenue Floor:
Adjusted = max(Adjusted, Annual Revenue × Floor %)
(Ensures penalty is proportionate and deterrent)

Step 4 — Statutory Cap:
Capped = min(Adjusted, Statutory Maximum)

Step 5 — Cooperation Credit:
Final Penalty = Capped × (1 − Cooperation Rate)

Uncertainty Range: Final × 0.80 to Final × 1.20

Assumptions & References

  • EPA (Environmental): Clean Air Act §113(b), Clean Water Act §309(d); 2024 civil penalty adjustments per 40 CFR Part 19 — up to $70,117/day per violation.
  • OSHA (Workplace): OSH Act §17; 2024 penalty schedule — Other-than-Serious: $1,190; Serious: $15,625; Willful/Repeat: up to $156,259 per violation.
  • SEC (Financial): Securities Exchange Act §21B; penalties up to $1,000,000 per violation for entities (2024 adjusted).
  • Privacy (FTC/GDPR): FTC Act §5 — up to $51,744/day (2024); GDPR Art. 83 — up to 4% of global annual turnover or €20M, whichever is higher.
  • Antitrust: Sherman Act §1–2 — up to $100M per offense or twice the gain/loss; EU: up to 10% of global turnover.
  • Consumer Protection: FTC Act §5(m) — up to $51,744 per violation per day (2024 adjusted).
  • Prior violation multiplier reflects standard agency recidivism policy (10% per prior, capped at 100%).
  • Cooperation/remediation credits follow DOJ and agency settlement guidelines.
  • Revenue floor ensures proportionality per GDPR, Sherman Act, and FTC guidance.
  • All dollar figures are 2024 inflation-adjusted under the Federal Civil Penalties Inflation Adjustment Act Improvements Act of 2015.
  • Disclaimer: This tool provides estimates for educational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. Consult qualified legal counsel for actual compliance matters.

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